GIS for Environmental Modeling
| Geog 479/559 Spring 2009 | Tu Th 2:00 - 3:20pm |
| Instructor: Ling Bian
Office: 120 Wilkeson Quad Office Hours: Tu Th 12:30-1:30pm |
322 Fillmore Lab: T 12:30-1:50pm or W 11am-12:20pm, Wilkeson 145 TA: Liang Mao |
Basic GIS Modeling - Suitability Index
1. The Delphi approach
a procedure for obtaining
and processing expert judgments to
maximize the accuracy of the resulting estimates
Main considerations
data, budget, and time
constraints
for a scientific evaluation
human mind is capable of
making quite accurate judgments
The Delphi steps
1. ask each expert for an
independent opinion on carefully
prepared questions
2. calculate the median
and range of opinions and feed these
back to
the experts for another round of estimate
3. repeat step 1 and 2 for
a few rounds
4. use the median of the
final round as the best answer
* time and cost factors
Experts' role
1. select appropriate variables
2. estimate magnitude of
the ranking
3. assign the weights
2. Land Suitability Analysis (LSA)
Richmond Parkway, NY evaluation:
McHarg, I.L., 1969. Design with
Nature. Doubleday/Natural History Press, New York.
1. 16 land variables
e.g. slope, drainage, bedrock foundation, land values
2. the variables are ranked by numeric numbers
3. each variable is weighted
from 1 to 3
e.g. slope<2.5%,1; 2.5%<slope<10%,2; slope>10%,3
4. the grand index = summation
of ranking x weighting
3. The DRASTIC model
Development
By the National
Water Well Association in 1987 for US EPA to evaluate groundwater pollution
potential.
It used the Delphi method to
design parameters by compiling responses from more than 40 of the nation's
leading groundwater scientists.
The model
D - Depth to water
table
R - Recharge
A - Aquifer media
S - Soil media
T - Topography
I - Impact of vadoes
zone
C - Conductivity of the aquifer
Limitations
It provides a relative
evaluation and is not for absolute answers. It is designed as a planning
tool and should not be used for site-specific evaluations.
4. The Judgment Impact Matrix (JIM)
It suits for evaluation
of complex systems
Estimation structure
components -> environmental
elements -> societal elements
-> grand index
The matrix
components x link(0,1) x
element set1 x element set2
x weights (for element 2)
The links, environmental, societal and weights are determined by Delphi